Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessments

Assessing Vulnerability

Coastal flooding damages homes

Coastal flooding on Camano Island. Photo by Joan Schrammek.

Vulnerability can be defined in different ways, but fundamentally requires that the interaction between three separate concepts – exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity – be considered.

Exposure defines the characteristics and severity of a climate event, and is often measured by the scale or spatial extent of impact. Sensitivity refers to the degree to which an asset will be impacted if exposed to a damaging climate event. And adaptive capacity is “the ability of systems, individuals, institutions, and ecosystems to adjust to climate change, to moderate potential damages, to take advantage of opportunities, or to respond to consequences” (Coastal Adaptation Planning Essentials, NOAA). These concepts are particularly useful when planning for sea level rise, and a vulnerability assessment can help to provide a sense for what is at risk along the shoreline.

Vulnerability can also be evaluated in a variety of ways, from qualitative assessments informed by the expertise of residents and local practitioners (like this example from Hawaii) to data-driven quantitative approaches (like this one from Pensacola, Florida) in which scores are derived from data sets assembled by a project team, and to hybrids that fall somewhere in between (like this example from Newport Beach, CA).

Puget Sound Parcel-scale Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment

A collaborative team from Washington Sea Grant and Coastal Geologic Services developed a quantitative approach for calculating sea level rise vulnerability for parcels in the Puget Sound region using publicly available data. The team developed a technical report and user guide, vulnerability assessment maps for each Puget Sound county, and two geodatabase packages for users looking to conduct further analyses.

Access these materials and learn more about the Puget Sound Parcel-scale Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessment here.

Vulnerability Assessments in Washington 

Sea Level Rise Vulnerability Assessments in Washington

Government/Entity Jurisdiction Type Report Title Date SLR Projection Source Consultant Funding
Bainbridge Island City 2024 WA (Miller et al. 2018) ESA WA ECY CZM Competitive Grant 2022-2024
Coupeville City 2023 WA (Miller et al. 2018) Peak Sustainability Group, "Coastal Geologic Services, Inc." WA ECY SMP Competitive 2021-2023, NODC Grant
Island County County 2016 Custom (Kopp 2014) Adaptation International, Washington Sea Grant WA Salmon Recovery Funding Board, NOAA Pacific Coastal Salmon Recovery Fund
Jamestown S'Klallam Tribe 2013 Custom (National Academies of Science 2009) Adaptation International, Washington Sea Grant US EPA
Jefferson County County 2023 WA (Miller et al. 2018) ESA WA ECY SMP Competitive 2021-2023
Langley City 2021 WA (Miller et al. 2018) Internal (Director of Community Planning) unknown
Lower Elwha Klallam Tribe Tribe 2022 WA (Miller et al. 2018) Natural Systems Design, Washington Sea Grant, Adaptation International BIA
Makah Tribe Tribe 2019 NRC 2012, WA (Mote et al. 2008) US FWS US FWS
Nooksack Indian Tribe Tribe 2017 NatureServe CCVI 3.0 UW CIG, Internal (Nooksack) unknown
Olympia City 2019 WA (Miller et al. 2018) AECOM unknown
Pacific County County 2023 WA (Miller et al. 2018) DCG/Watershed WA ECY SMP Competitive 2021-2023
Pierce County County 2023 WA (Miller et al. 2018) Internal (Pierce County), ESA, BERK WA COM Grant
Port Gamble S'Klallam Tribe Tribe 2017 NRC 2012, WA (Mote et al. 2008) Cascadia, UW CIG BIA, US EPA
Port of Bellingham Port 2023 WA (Miller et al. 2018) "EA Engineering, Science and Technology" unknown
Port Townsend City 2022 NOAA (Sweet et al. 2022) Cascadia NODC Grant
Puyallup Tribe of Indians Tribe 2016 NRC 2012 Cascadia unknown
Quileute Tribe Tribe 2016 WA (Mote et al. 2008) Internal (Quileute) US EPA
Regional (Puget Sound) Regional (Puget Sound) 2022 WA (Miller et al. 2018) "Coastal Geologic Services, Inc.", Washington Sea Grant US EPA, NODC Grant
Regional (Treaty of Olympia Tribes) Tribe 2019 WA (Miller et al. 2013), WA (Mote et al. 2008), NRC 2012 OCCRI unknown
Regional (Treaty of Olympia Tribes) Tribe 2019 WA (Miller et al. 2018) OCCRI NOAA Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments Program, "Treaty of Olympia Tribes (Quinault, Hoh, Quileute)"
Samish Indian Nation Tribe 2019 WA (Miller et al. 2018) Internal (Samish) US DOE
Samish Indian Nation Tribe 2020 WA (Miller et al. 2018) Internal (Samish) BIA
San Juan County County 2013 NRC 2012, IPCC "Coastal Geologic Services, Inc." US EPA, Bullitt Foundation, North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative, FRIENDS of the San Juans, Salish Sea Biological
Seattle City 2023 WA (Miller et al. 2018) Cascadia WA COM Grant
Skagit Delta Habitat (Skagit Delta) 2016 NRC 2012 Internal (Skagit Rover System Cooperative), USGS US EPA, USGS, Office of Naval Research
Snohomish County County 2023 NOAA (Sweet et al. 2022) Parametrix, BERK unknown
State Parks Park 2023 WA (Miller et al. 2018) Herrera unknown
Statewide (WSDOT) Statewide 2011 Custom (UW CIG/IPCC) WSDOT FHWA
Stillaguamish Tribe Tribe 2016 NatureServe CCVI 3.0 UW CIG unknown
Tacoma City 2021 WA (Miller et al. 2018), NRC 2012 Moffat & Nichol WA ECY CZM Competitive Grant 2022-2024
Whatcom County County 2023 WA (Miller et al. 2018) ESA, "Coastal Geologic Services, Inc." WA ECY SMP Competitive 2021-2023
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